BANGALORE – The Coffee Board has finalized the Post Blossom crop forecast for the current year (FY 2013-14).
The coffee production estimates for the previous year (FY 2012-13) based on crop harvest data have also been finalized along with the Post-Blossom crop forecast.
Final Estimation of Coffee production for 2012-13 The final crop estimate based on crop harvest data for the year 2012-13 is placed at 318,200 MT, which showed an increase of 2,700 MT (0.86%) over the post monsoon estimate of 315,500 MT and an increase of 4,200 MT (1.34%) over the previous year’s 2011-12 final estimate of 314,000 MT.
Of the total final estimate, the share of Arabica is 98,600 MT and that of Robusta is 219,600 MT. The production of Arabica has shown a marginal decline of 1625 MT (-1.62%) while Robusta increased by 4,235 MT (2.01%) over the post-monsoon estimate made before crop harvesting in 2012.
The loss in Arabica production and the production gain in Robusta has mainly come from Karnataka.
The final crop estimate for Karnataka is placed at 230,225 MT with a break up of 77,425 MT of Arabica and 1,52,800 MT of Robusta. The final production in Karnataka has shown a marginal increase of 3,020 MT (1.33%).
The Arabica production has marginally declined in Chikmagalur (-1.32%), Kodagu (-1.87%) and Hassan of (-1.96%) districts, while Robusta production shown an increase in Chikmagalur (8.33%), Kodagu (1.15%) and in Hassan (0.55%) districts.
In Kerala, the final estimate of 2012-13 is placed at 64,200 MT with an increase of 375 MT (0.59%) from the post monsoon estimate of 63,825 MT.
Tamil Nadu final production of 2012-13 is placed at 17,370 MT which is a marginal decline of 380 MT over the post monsoon estimate of 17,750 MT.
In the Non-Traditional Areas and North Eastern Region, the final estimate of 2012-13 is placed at 6,405 MT against post monsoon estimate of 6,720 MT which showed a marginal decline of 215 MT in Andhra Pradesh.
Post Blossom Coffee crop forecast for the year 2013-14 The post Blossom crop forecast for the year 2013-14 is placed at 347,000 MT, which is an increase of 28,800 MT (9.05%) over the final estimate of previous year 2012-13 (318,200 MT).
Of the total estimate, the Arabica and Robusta break up is 111,000 MT and 236,000 MT respectively. Arabica production has shown an increase of 12,400 MT (12.88%) over the final estimate of 2012-13, while robusta increased by 16,400 MT (7.47%).
By the states, the production gain has mainly come from Karnataka to the tune of 18,890 MT (8.21%) and Non Traditional Areas with 1,780 MT (28.57%) while Kerala has shown an increase of 6,350 MT (9.89%) and Tamil Nadu by 1,755 MT (10.10%) compared to the previous 2012-13 season’s final estimate.
In Karnataka, all the three districts recorded increase in production over the previous year with an almost equal share of Arabica and Robusta. Kodagu district recorded highest increase of 14,420 MT (12.02%) which is mainly accrued from robusta (11,620 MT or 11.77%) and Arabica gained by 2800 MT (13.15%).
Hassan district recorded increase of 3,535 MT (10.84%) which has come from both Arabica (2,635 MT or 14.02%) and Robusta (900 MT or 6.52%). While Chikmagalur showed a marginal increase of 935 MT which has mainly come from Arabica and the robusta production shown decline of 2940 MT (-7.30%) over the previous year final estimate.
The Arabica production regained in 2013-14 season in Karnataka mainly because of the biennial bearing nature of arabica as last year final estimate was low.
The blossom showers are reported to be normal in all most all the coffee growing zones, while there was delay in backing showers in certain pockets were reported.
In general good crop condition and better husbandry practices have helped to invigorate production in Karnataka. Accounting this, the crop forecast for Karnataka is placed at 86,735 MT of arabica and 162,380 MT of robusta totaling 249,115 MT.
Kerala coffee zones also have received adequate and timely blossom and backing showers. There was no adverse effect on crop was reported in coffee growing districts of Kerala.
Accounting this the post blossom estimates for the 2013-14 is placed at 70,550 MT, which is an increase of 9.89% (6,350 MT) over the previous 2012-13 final estimate of 64,200 MT.
