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MILAN – Coffee futures markets closed mixed in the first session of the week, with New York recovering and London declining: yesterday, Monday 5 January 2026, the contract for March delivery of the ICE Arabica gained 0.6% to settle at 359.35 cents, while the March ICE Robusta coffee contract fell 0.9% to end the day at $3.918. The rises in New York were influenced by weather data from Brazil’s coffee belt, where rainfall during the week at the turn of the year was approximately two-thirds of the historical average.
Further support came from the strengthening of the Brazilian currency, reaching a 3-week high against the greenback. A strong real usually discourages export sales from Brazil’s coffee producers.
While we await Cecafé’s year-end statistics on Brazilian exports, due to arrive in a few days, let us turn to Vietnam, where exports generated an unprecedented turnover of $8.3 billion in 2025, marking a 55.5% increase in value compared to a mere 1.8% rise in volume.
According to data released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment (MAE), the average export price was $5,792, which is 41% higher than the 2024 average.
Europe remains the largest export market for Vietnamese coffee, with 710,000 tonnes exported in 2025, worth 4 billion. The 27 EU member states alone account for 40% of exports by volume and roughly the same proportion by value.
Nestlé is currently the largest buyer of Vietnamese coffee, purchasing 20-25% of Vietnam’s production. The Swiss multinational operates the largest coffee processing plant in Southeast Asia in Vietnam’s Dong Nai province, with advanced equipment for the production of both spray-dried and freeze-dried instant coffee.
According to the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (VICOFA), Vietnam currently exports its coffee to over 80 countries and holds a 20% share of the global market, placing it second only to Brazil.
In the 2025/26 harvest year, VICOFA expects export volumes to grow by a further 10%, thanks to an increase in production made possible by favourable weather conditions and renewed plantations.
