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MILAN – The dollar strength influenced the performance of coffee futures during the last trading sessions of 2025. In New York, the ICE Arabica March contract lost early gains, closing on Wednesday 31 December 145 points down at 348.75 cents, still 9% higher than the last close for the main contract in 2024. Meanwhile, March ICE Robusta coffee rose for the sixth consecutive session.
The contract posted minimal gains (up $4), ending the year at $3,949 — the highest price in the last two weeks — but 19% lower than the benchmark close on the same date in 2024.
Robusta prices partially recovered during the last decade of December due to the challenging situation in Indonesia, where widespread flooding could jeopardise up to 15% of exports in the 2025/26 season, according to the Association of Indonesian Coffee Exporters and Industry.
On the other hand, 2025 was a record year for Vietnam’s coffee exports, which surpassed 1.5 million tonnes (25 million bags), marking a 16.9% volume increase compared to 2024, according to data released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment
Due to consistently high prices, exports reached an unprecedented value of $8.4 billion, up 60.7% compared to the previous year.
According to Deputy Minister of Agriculture and Environment Hoang Trung, 2025 marked a historic turning point for the Vietnamese coffee industry, with a consolidation of exports to key markets, such as the EU and the U.S., but also a rise in shipments to many new emerging markets, particularly Algeria and Mexico, which opens up further opportunities for expansion.
Exports to key markets such as the European Union and the United States continued to drive growth, while shipments to many emerging markets, such as Algeria and Mexico, also grew opening up further opportunities for expansion.
In an interview with national media, Phan Minh Thong, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Ho Chi Minh City-based Phuc Sinh Joint Stock Company – one of Vietnam’s leading exporters – highlighted the further growth in processed coffee exports, which reached a value of one billion dollars.
India also recorded record exports
India coffee exports exceeded the historic milestone of $2 billion, reaching $2.058 billion — a 22% increase compared to 2024.
This was achieved despite a decline in volume of almost 4.5%, with exports falling to 384,589 tonnes (6.42 million bags) in 2025 compared to 402,526 tonnes in 2024, according to statistics from the Coffee Board of India. However, there has been an increase in the volume of Arabica and instant coffee exports.
Exports are broken down as follows:
- Arabica 50,104.585 tonnes
- Robusta 180,876.783 tonnes
- Instant coffee 153,086.209 tonnes
- Roasted coffee 521.280 tonnes
Italy remains the main destination market for Indian coffee, with exports reaching 60,688 tonnes (1.01 million bags) last year. Russian Federation emerged as second largest buyer with exports of 31,505 tonnes (525,083 bags), followed by Germany (28,840 tonnes), the United Arab Emirates (21,173 tonnes), Belgium (19,871 tonnes) and Turkey (17,073 tonnes).
