October registers price oscillations and favorable weather, Cepea

PIRACICABA, São Paulo, Brazil – Quotations for Arabica and Robusta coffee oscillated significantly in October, says Cepea in its latest report. Players surveyed by Cepea were focused on the fact that coffee might be removed from the list of Brazilian products with extra tariff imposed by the United States, on weather conditions in Brazil and in Vietnam and on the limited supply.

Therefore, liquidity in the spot market was limited, and producers are unwilling to trade their production.

In October, the approximation of governments from both the United States and Brazil increased expectations about an agreement involving the product, which pressed down quotations abroad and in the domestic market.

However, nothing has been defined yet. Among the Brazilian products that still have the extra tariff from the US, coffee is one that is likely to be removed from the list.

The rainfall in Brazil has favored the development of arábica coffee crops and improved conditions of robusta coffee plants in Espírito Santo. Therefore, players are focused on the flowering of arabica coffee crops of the 2026/27 season, which now depend on more rains.

In the accumulated of October (from September 30 to October 31), the CEPEA/ESALQ Index for the arabica coffee type 6, delivered to São Paulo city, increased 79.09 Reais per 60-kg bag (or 3.7%), to close at BRL 2,206.59 per 60-kg bag on October 31.

Concerning robusta, the CEPEA/ESALQ Index for the type 6, screen 13, Espírito Santo, upped 63.45 Reais per bag (or 4.6%) in October, to close at BRL 1,405.91 per 60-kg bag on October 31.