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MILAN – Robusta futures have closed down for the seventh consecutive week, extending their negative streak. On Friday 13 June, September ICE Robusta coffee fell by a further $27, to settle at $4,287. Yesterday (Monday 16 June), the contract lost a further $95, closing at a new 10-month low of $4,192.
This is the longest downward series for the London market since the end of 2018. However, it is worth remembering that Robusta futures reached record highs earlier this year, with the main contract exceeding $5,800 in February.
Arabica futures also declined, with the contract for September delivery dropping 575 points on Monday to close at 340.25 cents — a new low in almost five months. Prices initially rose, as a result of the real’s appreciation, with the Brazilian currency reaching an 8-1/4 month high against the dollar, discouraging export selling from Brazil’s coffee producers.
The latest Commitment of Traders report from the Ice Arabica has seen the Non-Commercial Speculative sector increase their net long position by 11.13% over the week to Tuesday 10th June 2025  to register a new long position of 24,129 lots.
In the same report, the shorter term in nature Managed Money fund increased their net long position by 9.36% to register a new long position at 32,599 lots.
The latest Commitment of Traders report from the Ice Robusta has seen the Speculative Managed Money Sector increase their net long position by 17.70% to a new net long position of 3,506 lots, which is the equivalent of 584,333 bags.
Meanwhile, harvest operations continue at full speed in Brazil. According to the authoritative agricultural analyst Safras & Mercado, 35% of Brazil’s new crop had already been harvested by 11 June, which was 7% progress compared to the previous week.
“The rainfall in the last week slowed down harvesting and drying operations, especially for Arabica,” the analyst wrote in a note.
In its most recent weekly report, coffee brokerage company Escritório Carvalhaes also states that the rainfall that has fallen since the beginning of June in the Arabica production areas has led to fruit drop in some cases, which could affect the quality of coffee produced in those areas.
