Friday 29 March 2024
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ENSO remains neutral says the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

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MILAN – The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral, with all ENSO indicators currently within the ENSO-neutral range, according to the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology.

Climate model outlooks indicate the tropical Pacific Ocean is likely to remain ENSO-neutral through the southern summer and autumn.

Most models surveyed expect the tropical Pacific Ocean to warm during this period, meaning La Niña is the least likely scenario for winter/spring 2017.

It should be noted that model outlooks that span the southern autumn period tend to have lower accuracy than outlooks issued at other times of the year.

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This means outlooks beyond May should be used with some caution.

The Indian Ocean Dipole has little influence on Australian climate during the months from December to April.

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