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SAO PAULO, Brazil – While the 2025/26 arábica harvesting starts to gain pace in some areas, robusta activities are more advanced, especially in Espírito Santo, where roughly 20% of the production was estimated to be already harvested by late May, says CEPEA in its latest report. As a result, according to data from Cepea, prices of both coffee varieties have been decreasing, but more significantly for robusta.
Concerning arabica, the CEPEA/ESALQ Index for the type 6, delivered to São Paulo city, averaged BRL 2,335.77 per 60-kg bag on May 30, for a decrease of 10.71% compared to that on April 30. The CEPEA/ESALQ Index for the robusta coffee type 6, screen 13, Espírito Santo, downed 18.10% in the same comparison, closing at BRL 1,394.45 per 60-kg bag on May 30.
The USDA released a report in May indicating that the 2025/26 arabica output in Brazil may total 40.9 million 60-kg bags, downing 6.4% compared to the 43.7 million bags verified in the season before. The decrease is related to weather conditions verified up to 2024.
As for robusta, in turn, the USDA says that the 2025/26 crop in Brazil is likely to hit 24.1 million bags, upping sharply 15% in relation to the 21 million bags harvested in 2024/25. This estimate reinforces the pressure on prices.
As for the total volume of coffee, the USDA indicates that the Brazilian production may amount 65 million 60-kg bags (green beans) in 2025/26, upping 0.5% compared to the year before.
Coffee shipments dropped in April; however, in the accumulated of this season, exports continue to present a record performance.
According to data from Cecafé, 3.093 million 60-kg bags of coffee (both arabica and robusta) were sold to the international market in April, downing 27.7% compared to the volume registered in April/24. In the 2024/25 season (from July/24 to April/25), shipments totaled 39.994 million bags, a record for the period, considering the Cecafé series.
